Man United went to Cambridge United — fourth division — in the FA Cup and drew 0-0, and the discourse declared a civilizational crisis. Tuesday’s replay finished 3-0 at Old Trafford and the crisis evaporated without apology. I’ve read enough postmortems now to have a take on this: one cup tie on a cold January pitch is variance, not signal, and judging decisions purely by their single outcomes is how you learn nothing. The pundits could use a blameless review process. (Judging Van Gaal’s notebook remains fun though.)

Tech’s big reveal: Microsoft announced HoloLens, untethered holographic goggles, Minecraft on your coffee table, plus free Windows 10 upgrades for basically everyone. Free! Windows! Satya’s Microsoft keeps doing things old Microsoft would sue itself for considering.

Also RadioShack filed for bankruptcy, and every engineer of a certain age posted the same eulogy: that’s where the parts came from. Pour out a capacitor.

TIL: the Monty Hall problem broke my brain at lunch for two hours, which the seniors ran deliberately, for sport, like a G-rated hazing. Probability is not intuitive and neither am I.